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Bitcoin price charts hint $11K will likely cause trouble for BTC bulls

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While Bitcoin (BTC) has been showing weakness in recent weeks as BTC price dropped from $12,000 to $10,000, some light at the end of the tunnel is showing up.

The price of Bitcoin showed support at the psychological barrier of $10,000 and bounced numerous times as it’s already close to $11,000. Most importantly, can Bitcoin break through this crucial area and continue its bullish momentum?

Bitcoin holds $10,000 to avoid any further correction on the markets

The price of Bitcoin couldn’t hold above $11,100 at the beginning of September and dropped south, causing the crypto markets to tumble down with it.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Given the fast-paced breakout above $10,000 in July, a large gap was created without substantial support zones. As no support zones were established, the price of Bitcoin fell to the $10,000 area within one day.

This $10,000 area is a crucial support area, as it was previously a resistance area, particularly around the time of the Bitcoin halving that occurred in May. But now, flipping this key level for support increases the chances of further upward continuation.

Is the CME gap getting front-run by the markets?

As the price dropped from $12,000 earlier this month, most traders and investors had their eyes on the potential closure of the CME gap.

BTC/USD CME 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD CME 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

However, the CME gap didn’t close as buyers stepped in above the CME gap. The price of Bitcoin reversed at $10,000 and not at $9,600.

In that regard, the likelihood of not closing this CME gap increases by the day. Not all CME gaps will get filled as it’s just another factor to consider for traders, just like support/resistance flips or the Fibonacci extension tool.

What’s more likely is a substantial range-bound period for Bitcoin, which may last for months. A similar period was seen in the previous market cycle in 2016.

A potential scenario for Bitcoin

BTC/USDT 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USDT 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

As the chart shows, a current uptrend is clearly visible since the crash with continuation likely.

The upper resistance level is $10,900. If this is broken, the next crucial hurdle is found at $11,100-11,300. This resistance zone is the essential level on higher timeframes as well, which, if broken, may result in a massive rally.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

The price of Bitcoin may then see a quick rise to the next major resistance zone at $12,100.

However, a breakthrough in one-go is less likely as this would only be the first test of the previous support zone ($11,100).

Therefore, a potential continuation of the sideways range-bound structure shouldn’t come as a surprise and would be similar to what happened right after the 2020 halving.

To recap, clearly-defined support zones are found at $9,200-9,500 and around $10,000; the resistance zones are at $11,100-11,300 and $11,900-12,200.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.





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Bitcoin

The next decade of sustainable crypto innovation begins today

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Since the creation of the first cryptocurrency over a decade ago, many have often been skeptical of their legitimacy, with some even dismissing them as a fraud. But in 2020, this paradigm seemed to have shifted. What has emerged is a shared recognition that Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets are here to stay and that they will play a key role in the future of global finance. 

This is not some far-fetched vision reserved to crypto-anarchists — financial actors that were traditionally wary of cryptocurrencies are now expressing confidence in their disruptive potential. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs, for instance, have recently reversed their initial opposition to cryptocurrencies, becoming some of the latest to offer new banking services and offerings for the digital assets market.

Related: Will PayPal’s crypto integration bring crypto to the masses? Experts answer

As optimism and appreciation for the long term potential of cryptocurrencies continue to grow, so will the opportunities for revenue expansion among players within the ecosystem. Bitcoin miners, for instance, saw their topline figures surge by close to 50% on a month-on-month basis in November, as Bitcoin prices rallied more than 60% to above $18,000 over the same time period. Yet, in a highly competitive environment, success has largely been confined to a few industry leaders while remaining elusive to many.

For miners, gaining access to highly advanced mining equipment — one that boasts the highest level of power and cost efficiencies, and the fastest processing speeds — remains the single most critical factor to securing a competitive edge.

Related: Cryptocurrency mining profitability in 2020: Is it possible?

The evolution

The crypto mining industry has undergone a succession of substantial transformations to arrive at today’s advanced technical state. In its early days, mining was done using simple computers without any complex or high-powered devices. General-purpose central processing units, or CPUs, were all it took to produce Bitcoin. This led to a rapid expansion of the Bitcoin network, as the allure of easy money prompted an influx of new entrants — so much so that these first-generation miners were unable to keep pace with demand, rendering them obsolete in just a year’s time.

Graphics processing units were introduced next and made mining Bitcoin more efficient and profitable. Combining several GPUs became a common sight, as miners sought to further increase their mining performance and capabilities while maximizing gains. Despite these advancements, second-generation miners did not stand the test of time due to their high energy consumption and lack of long-term efficacy.

In 2011, field-programmed gate arrays, or FPGAs, emerged as the next logical step of progression. They were fast, highly energy-efficient, offered better performance and easier cooling than their predecessors. Nonetheless, FPGA miners were short-lived and eventually replaced by ASICs, which, until today, remain the dominant technology for the Bitcoin mining industry. Designed, built and optimized for the sole purpose of mining, ASICs are recognized for their superior harmonization of power consumption, performance and cost — around a million times more energy efficient and 50 million times faster in mining Bitcoin than the CPUs used in 2009.

The road ahead

Indeed, crypto mining has come a long way. Aside from performance-related developments, there have also been notable improvements to the environmental aspect of the technology, such as higher energy efficiency and faster hash rates. With a growing emphasis on sustainability, this is a trend likely to continue as chip design providers look to develop innovative solutions to cater to this evolving demand.

Two main developmental areas come to mind. First, the reengineering of current mining hardware to radically utilize less energy; and, second, a reprogramming of current mining chips to allow the use of hybrid energy for optimal cost performance.

Reengineering of the current mining hardware. Already, there are several concepts out in the market that are being researched and rigorously put to test — one of them being the use of photonic chips to perform computing. In theory, the technology appears promising, with two to three orders of magnitude better energy efficiency over current electronic processors. Yet, in reality, it remains inconclusive as to whether the power savings are realizable, particularly as Bitcoin scales. Until then, ASICs and their ongoing enhancements will continue to dominate the crypto mining space and lead the charge on energy efficiency in crypto mining.

Reprogramming of the current mining chips. Against common belief, the crypto mining industry is a relatively green one. As of December 2019, Bitcoin was powered by over 70% of renewable electricity. While the benefits of using renewables are undisputed, the truth is that renewables are an intermittent source of energy and are not always reliable for Bitcoin miners, who have a constant energy requirement. Fossil fuel-based power, on the contrary, serves generally as a more steady source of energy. To strike a balance between the sustainability of the industry and sustainability more broadly, a hybrid model can be adopted, whereby renewables are used predominantly as an energy source, with fossil fuel-based power setting in during production shortages. This entails redesigning and reprogramming current mining chips to enable greater ease of toggling between the two variants of energy sources, with no disruption to the mining processes.

As cryptocurrencies continue to rise in prominence, so will the influx of competition from new providers wanting a slice of the pie. Healthy competition can be positive in that it can lead to more innovation that brings greater efficiencies and maturity to the industry. To fully capitalize on the growth of the nascent cryptocurrency market, however, incumbent chip designers will need to invest further into research and development, particularly in areas of energy optimization and power performance.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Nangeng Zhang, also known as NG, is the founder, chairman and CEO of Canaan Inc., a leading provider of supercomputing solutions. While specializing in the field of supercomputing, NG explored the potential of application-specific integrated circuit design, consequently launching the world’s first digital cryptocurrency miner based on ASIC chips and catalyzing the era of ASIC mining.