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Why traders expect ‘boring’ Bitcoin and altcoin price action until 2021

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Bitcoin (BTC) price has been stuck in a range for weeks now but traders generally expect a slow fourth quarter for the top-ranked digital asset.

Bitcoin quarterly returns (%). Source: Skew.com

In 2018 and 2019 Q4 closed net negative, injecting a bit of bearish sentiment into the market. In the near term, a boring Q4 of further downside from Bitcoin price could cause altcoin prices to dump further.

At the moment, multiple technical analysts are closely watching the bounce in the Bitcoin dominance index to warn against an altcoin market pullback.

Has the worst already passed for altcoins?

As Cointelegraph reported, over the past two weeks most small altcoins and decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens dropped by 30% to 60%.

The slump in altcoins worsened when Bitcoin surged from $9,981 to $11,179 on Sept. 9 to Sept. 19 and during this period it appears that a take-profit rally took place. Analysts believe that profits from altcoins and DeFi cycled into Bitcoin and stablecoins.

As such, while Bitcoin saw a strong uptrend, DeFi tokens declined and altcoins remained in a steady decline.

The altcoin sell-off occurred as Bitcoin started to decline after rejecting from a key resistance level at $11,100. In the last 15 days, BTC has slipped by nearly 6%, stabilizing slightly above $10,500.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView.com

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView.com

According to Cointelegraph contributor Michael van de Poppe, the current slump is unlikely to end any time soon.

In a tweet van de Poppe posted the following chart and explained that crypto markets typically see ‘boring and corrective’ phases during Q4. The traders said, historically Ether bottoms in December and begins to move by the next quarter.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView.com

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView.com

Van de Poppe predicted that “BTC dominance will run up, to have an altseason in Q1 20201.”

A pseudonymous trader known as “Loma” echoed a similar sentiment. He said the last time altcoins plunged this hard, BTC saw a large drop in a short period.

This time, altcoins are declining while BTC and Ether remain relatively stable above their respective support levels. The trader noted:

“ALTs dumping right now while Bitcoin barely moving. Last time I saw that, Bitcoin painted a fat down candle.”

Is a relief rally on the cards?

Since the start of October, the cryptocurrency market has faced a number of negative events which could be weighing on investor sentiment.

On Sept. 26 KuCoin exchange was hacked for $281 million and while Bitcoin price did not correct over the news, it could be preventing the build up of bullish momentum. This was followed by the U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announcing that it had charged BitMEX with violating the Bank Secrecy Act on Oct. 1.

Then, on Oct. 2, U.S. President Donald Trump tested positive for COVID-19, causing a stir in both traditional and crypto markets.

After several major events investors expect increased volatility and some traders have suggested that a short squeeze could be on the cards.

Another popular crypto-Twitter trader known as “Byzantine General” said it is the “perfect” moment for a short squeeze as it would shake out the weak hands. The trader also hinted that in his opinion, there is plenty of capital on the sidelines within the cryptocurrency market. He said:

“With all the uncertainty going on right now, especially in crypto, it would be the perfect moment to blast up and leave all the weak hands behind. BTW the SSR is still historically low, meaning that there is a lot of dry powder on the side lines.”

Overall, traders foresee a boring quarter ahead for Bitcoin and altcoins, but last month’s intense sell-off could eventually lead to a strong relief rally.





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RIOT Stock Registers Unprecedented Rally, Riot Blockchain Valuation Soars Above $1B

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Following the Bitcoin all-time high on Sunday, December 27, Riot Blockchain stock registered 20% gains on Monday’s trading session. The stock has already appreciated by 13x this year. Apart from BTC, investors of Bitcoin mining companies are making a bomb in the market.

Bitcoin mining giant Riot Blockchain is making all the news in the market at the moment. On Monday, December 28, Riot Blockchain Inc (NASDAQ: RIOT) stock price surged a massive 20% surging past $15.5 levels. One of the biggest milestones with the Monday rally is that the Riot Blockchain has clocked a $1 billion market cap.

The latest price rally comes as Riot Blockchain hints at going aggressively on its Bitcoin mining business. Last week, the Riot Blockchain added new S19 Pro Antimers to its bitcoin mining arsenal. The company announced the purchase of an additional 15,000 Bitcoin (BTC) mining machines from Bitmain. The recent purchase also pushes Riot’s total fleet to 37,640 Next-Generation Bitmain Antminers.

Riot said that the fresh purchase of Antminers will help the mining company to attain a 65% jump in its mining hash-rate. RIOT stock has registered an unprecedented rally this year in 2020. RIOT stock has multiplied by 13x this year registering a 1200% surge so far.

Riot Blockchain has issued nearly 17 million shares since November 2020 with its total outstanding shares going to 67.5 million. It has been a phenomenal journey for Riot ever since it ventured into the Bitcoin mining business in October 2017. With valuations less than $50 million back then, Riot has grown more than 20x in size as of its latest stock price.

RIOT Stock and Shares of Other Bitcoin Mining Companies Profit from BTC Bull Run

The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price rally during Q4 2020 has also pushed the stocks of Bitcoin mining companies to new highs. Earlier on Sunday, December 28, the BTC price hit its all-time high of $28,000 in a massive bull run followed by huge institutional inflows.

Moreover, along with the BTC price rally, the Bitcoin hash-rate has jumped significantly since November 2020. Over the last two months, the BTC hash-rate has surged nearly 30% and is currently at 132 TH/s. The surge in the hash-rate suggests higher mining activity for Bitcoin.

As a result, Bitcoin mining companies have been making massive purchases of the BTC mining machines. In addition to Riot Blockchain, other giants like the Marathon Patent Group have made aggressive purchases over the last few months. Just like RIOT, the Marathon Patent Group (NASDAQ: MARA) has registered a phenomenal rally of 18% on Monday, December 28. MARA stock has multiplied investors’ wealth by 12x in 2020. It means the MARA stock has also given phenomenal 1100% returns year-to-date.

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Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.



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How low could XRP go? Watch these price levels next

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XRP price dropped by 30% on Dec. 29 following Coinbase’s decision to suspend trading. 

The market sentiment around XRP has become overwhelmingly negative due to the fear of more exchange delistings.

In the near term, XRP faces three key historical support levels at $0.224, $0.1743 and $0.1471.

Where will the XRP price go next?

The ongoing price trend of XRP is not cyclical nor reliant on technical analysis. It is due to investors selling XRP following the suspension of trading across major cryptocurrency exchanges.

On Dec. 29, Coinbase announced that it is suspending the XRP trading pairs on their platform. Paul Grewal, the chief legal officer at Coinbase, wrote:

“In light of the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple Labs, Inc, we have made the decision to suspend the XRP trading pairs on our platform. Trading will move into limit only starting December 28, 2020 at 2:30 PM PST, and will be fully suspended on Tuesday, January 19, 2021 at 10 a.m. Pacific Standard Time*. We will provide additional updates, if any, through the Coinbase Support Twitter account, including if there are any changes to timing.”

As Cointelegraph previously reported, analysts anticipated Coinbase to suspend XRP trading after the United States Securities and Exchange Commission filed its complaint.

Coinbase plans to undergo an initial public offering, and it is in the firm’s best interest to remain fully compliant with the regulators in the U.S.

Considering the regulatory uncertainty around XRP, traders have emphasized that technical analysis is of less importance in the short term. Scott Melker, a cryptocurrency trader, said:

“A few people have told me that there’s oversold bullish divergence on the $XRP chart. You are doing it wrong. Charts don’t matter here. You cannot trade in a vacuum. Jesus could come down with Biggie and Tupac and put on a concert for Brad Garlinghouse and I still wouldn’t buy.”

In the foreseeable future, XRP has several major support areas it could potentially recover from. However, these are deep support levels on the weekly chart, which shows that it lacks momentum for a major rebound.

XRP/USD weekly candle price chart (Coinbase). Source: TradingView.com

The XRP price has fallen by over 60% in merely two weeks, recording one of its steepest two-week drops in history.

What happens next?

Adam Cochran, a partner at Cinneamhain Ventures, was one of the first to break the story that Coinbase had conversations about suspending XRP trading.

Cochran hinted that the SEC are probably looking into more projects and companies than people realize. He said:

“If you thought my scoop on Coinbase delisting/suspending $XRP was insightful, you’re going to love the next scoop I’m working on, this week. Looks like that SEC is far more active than we thought and sniffing around a number of projects and companies!”