Connect with us

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Analyst Explains Why Price Will Hit $23,000 in 2020

Published

on



Bitcoin bulls should prepare for a price rally towards $23,000, according to an independent analyst.

The pseudonymous Twitterati fleshed out the bullish outcome after spotting BTC/USD in an accumulation-friendly pattern. Titled “Ascending Triangle,” the structure forms when the price forms two or higher lows under a roof-like horizontal resistance level.

Bitcoin trade setup, as presented by CryptoHamster. Source: BTCUSDT On TradingView.com

The $23K Bitcoin Call

Traders interpret the pattern as a bullish continuation indicator. Its formation typically appears as a consolidation after major upside rallies — a period where the asset neutralizes its overbought status and becomes prepare for another leg upward. Ideally, the breakout above the horizontal resistance lasts by the Triangle pattern’s height.

“Now, this ascending triangle is visible for everyone,” the analyst said based on a similar technical description, adding that “if its structure holds, long trade targets would be $22k and $23k.”

The prediction surfaced at a time when Bitcoin struggled to break above the $19,500-19,600. After the cryptocurrency rallied by almost 100 percent in eight weeks, traders with a short-term bearish outlook sold their holdings in the said area to secure decent profits. Meanwhile, fresh upside bids also lessened.

A lot of resilient sentiment took cues from the very factors that earlier helped the Bitcoin price rally. One of them is the developments related to the coronavirus vaccine. The prospects of a drug that could help contain the pandemic and, in turn, could reopen economies again as normal reduce investors’ exposure in safe-haven assets.

Fundamentals

Bitcoin reached an all-time high just shy of $20,000 as traders and mainstream investors flocked into its market to seek protection against inflation caused by the Federal Reserve’s open-ended bond purchasing program and ultralow interest rate environment. A vaccine reduces the need for such expansionary policies.

The US central bank will provide more information on how it would want to approach the markets with its emergency lending facilities at around 1400 EST this Wednesday.

Rick Rieder, the chief investment officer of global fixed income at BlackRock, believes that the Fed would remain dovish, adding that there would be “more fiscal stimulus” and “more borrowing” — one way or another. Economists at Goldman Sachs also think on the same line.

The prospects of more liquidity entering the economy would keep the shine off the US dollar and government bond yields. These fundamentals serve as bullish catalysts for Bitcoin, almost falling in line with the pseudonymous analyst’s prediction dictated — albeit via technical indicators.

Bitcoin was trading at $19,385 as of 0817 UTC.





Source link

Bitcoin

‘Bullish year ahead’ — Bitcoin primed for Q1 2021 gains, strength index suggests

Published

on

By


The monthly relative strength index (RSI) of Bitcoin (BTC) shows the dominant cryptocurrency is primed for another rally.

Is 2021 an ideal time for a Bitcoin rally?

The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures whether an asset is overbought or oversold. When the RSI surpasses 75, it signals the asset is overbought, and when it drops below 30, it means the asset is oversold.

A pseudonymous trader known as “Crypto Capo” noted that the monthly RSI of Bitcoin is set to close above 80. Historically, when this has happened, BTC has saw a strong rally afterward.

Although the monthly RSI of Bitcoin is above 80, which is technically oversold, BTC’s RSI tends to become oversold for prolonged periods during a bull cycle.

The monthly RSI of Bitcoin. Source: Crypto Capo

Hence, traders often refer to an oversold RSI on a high time frame chart, like the monthly candle chart, to forecast an extended rally in the short term to medium term. The trader said:

“Monthly candle is about to close above 80. When this happens, bullish trend continues, with an avg. return of 1010.87%. Each cycle is shorter.”

However, the trader emphasized that one indicator cannot accurately predict the price cycle of Bitcoin. Crypto Capo explained that the combination of a few indicators could serve as guidance for the future. He wrote:

“You cannot base a prediction on an indicator. What we do is combining several methods to have a guideline for the future, to see what is more likely. But in the end, we adapt to what the price does in the present.”

“Bullish year ahead”

Traders have differing perspectives on where Bitcoin is headed in 2021, but most traders remain overwhelmingly bullish.

Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michael van de Poppe said he anticipates Bitcoin to reach $65,000 to $85,000 by next year’s end. He stated:

“I’ve got to revise my view on the potential level of $BTC at the end of 2021. Through this recent surge, I’m expecting it to be between $65,000-85,000 at the end of 2021. Bullish year ahead.”

Meanwhile, the options market is pricing in a 22% chance of Bitcoin achieving $120,000 by next year, which could also serve as a potential guideline on where BTC is heading in 2021.

In the short-term, however, some traders are cautious in entering leveraged positions. A pseudonymous trader known as “TheBoot” said the ideal scenario is to wait for Bitcoin to consolidate at $25,000 or enter after the next price upsurge. The trader explained:

“No rush to enter leveraged trades on $btc right here imo. Best would be to wait and long low 25k or even mid 24k. Alternatively, wait for the next leg up and then a dip from there.”

Cointelegraph previously reported that whales have been buying Bitcoin more aggressively since Christmas, which could buoy the mid-term bull case for BTC entering into 2021.