Ethereum smashes past $600 as CME unveils ETH futures product
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2 Wochen ago
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Ether (ETH) has followed the breakout above $20,000 for Bitcoin (BTC) on Dec. 16, boosted by some big news from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). The CME just announced that it will be launching Ether futures in 2021.
“Based on increasing client demand and robust growth in our Bitcoin futures and options markets, we believe the addition of Ether futures will provide our clients with a valuable tool to trade and hedge this growing cryptocurrency,” said Tim McCourt, CME Group global head of equity index and alternative investment products.
“Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency by both market capitalization and daily volume. The introduction of listed Ether futures to our time-tested, regulated CME Group derivatives marketplace will help to create a forward curve so Ethereum market participants can better manage price risk.”
Such news is an extremely bullish event for the market’s maturity, as it opens the gates for institutions and other parties to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies outside of Bitcoin. Notably, BTC futures launched exactly three years ago at the previous all-time high price in December 2017.
Ether’s price is up by 7% in the past 24 hours and is currently aiming to make a new yearly high.
Ether testing the resistance zone for the fourth time
ETH/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
Ether is showing significant strength in recent months, as it’s testing the resistance for the fourth time. This strength is partly being fueled by Bitcoin’s strong movements, as that one just broke the all-time high.
However, the chart itself is shouting for more upside due to recent developments.
First of all, the $480 area had to be tested once, and that held as a support zone, after which a strong bounce toward $630 occurred. This resistance zone failed to break, which resulted in finding another support zone.
Similarly, with Bitcoin, the support was found through a double bottom construction with bullish divergences. In the case of Ether, this support was found at $530, which is another higher low as a result.
All those higher lows and renewed momentum are resulting in the fourth test of the resistance zone. Most likely, the previous tests have made this resistance weaker absorbing the selling volume, so a breakout is all but guaranteed, particularly as Bitcoin has already done so. Therefore, ETH will likely hit a new yearly high if Bitcoin consolidates and doesn’t make any sudden movements.
Could Ether run to $1,000 and above in the coming year?
ETH/USD 1-week chart. Source: TradingView
Ether above $1,000 is a likely outcome if ETH sustains the current momentum, as the chart shows. However, if Bitcoin makes a fake-out above $20,000 and drops back in the range, a correction toward $430 to $470 would still be a very bullish outcome for Ether.
In that perspective, the next impulse wave is most likely going to bring Ether toward the region of $800 to $850, while even $1,150 to $1,200 is a possibility. The latter depends on the strength of the markets.
However, Ether showed that it broke the accumulation range back in November, after which a new higher high was made. Since this higher high, the recent resistance at $300 flipped for support, which resulted in the current impulse move. The primary question is whether this impulse wave will top out soon or whether it’s going to continue to $850.
ETH/BTC pair turns bullish
ETH/BTC 1-week chart. Source: TradingView
Ether’s BTC pair is looking bullish, as it broke through the crucial resistance of 0.025 sats earlier this year. This rally resulted in continuation toward the 0.04 sats resistance but failed to break through that zone in one go.
However, it marked another higher low as the correction ended at the 0.025 sats area. The bottom of this correction was confirmed by a bullish divergence on the daily time frame, which is frequently a strong signal for trend reversals.
Such higher lows are considered to be very bullish, as they can open the floodgates to new higher highs and continuation of the uptrend. The U.S. dollar chart is already making higher highs and higher lows, but the momentum is partly due to Bitcoin’s strength.
If the BTC pair of Ether breaks above the 0.04 sats region, continuation is likely to occur toward the 0.055 and, possibly, 0.08 sats area. In that perspective, a very bullish 2021 is on the horizon for cryptocurrencies as a whole.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Bitcoin price rally cools down as Polkadot gains 34% in first week of ‘altseason’
Published
11 Stunden ago
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Dezember 29, 2020
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Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $26,000 on Dec. 29 as fresh fallout from Ripple’s threatened U.S. lawsuit was felt throughout crypto markets.
Cryptocurrency market overview. Source: Coin360
BTC price dips as Coinbase halts XRP trading
Data from Cointelegraph Markets, Coin360 and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting lows of $25,830 during Tuesday trading.
$27,000 support failed to hold overnight, sparking a retest of lower levels which now center on $26,000. At the weekend, Bitcoin hit all-time highs of $28,400 before swiftly reversing.
The latest losses come as XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, hits $0.23 thanks to major U.S. exchange Coinbase opting to suspend trading from next month. The reason is a lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which threatens to classify XRP as an unlicensed security and make trading it all but impossible.
“There is going to be a rangebound construction, after which 2021 will most likely break out again,” Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michaël van de Poppe summarized about Bitcoin’s short-term perspectives in a video update on Monday.
Analyst braced for altseason
Van de Poppe is eyeing altcoins as next in line to see major gains. XRP notwithstanding, the market is already showing signs of life, with Ether (ETH) climbing above $700 for the first time since May 2018 this week.
Another winner on Tuesday was Polkadot (DOT), now the seventh-largest token by market cap, which saw a 22.5% daily rise, capping weekly performance of nearly 34%.
For Van de Poppe, the next “impulse wave” on Bitcoin in 2021 should take the market to $40,000 or $50,000, but “until then, altcoins will most likely do well.”
He additionally pointed to a likely top in Bitcoin market cap dominance, which at almost 70% should soon give way to altcoin presence. December tends to see BTC dominance peaks, with 2017, the time of Bitcoin’s first attempt to crack $20,000, a notable comparison.
Dynamic Set Dollar faces “massive test” as stablecoin falls as low as $.27
Published
2 Tagen ago
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Dezember 28, 2020
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While wild price action on Bitcoin and Ethereum have claimed the attention of most traders over the Christmas weekend, a select sect of crypto traders are following an experiment playing out in real-time that may have implications for the future of stablecoins: the fate of Dynamic Set Dollar.
Dynamic Set Dollar and its DSD token is an algorithmic stablecoin project designed to — eventually — track the United States Dollar on a 1-1 ratio with DSD. During expansionary cycles, such as one that led DSD as high as $3 per token last week, users are rewarded with freshly-printed “rebased” tokens for providing liquidity.
According to Avalanche blockchain platform founder Emin Gün Sirer, however, developers of protocols like DSD face a much tricker task during price dumps like the one DSD is currently experiencing: incentivizing users to adjust the amount of tokens in circulation. In DSD’s case, holders can burn their tokens at any time for “coupons” which they can redeem at any point within 30 days so long as DSD is above $1 per token — hypothetically enabling them to reap significant profit.
“These mechanisms rely on whales who will jump in and out of the coin in order to stabilize its price around the intended target,” said Sirer in an interview with Cointelegraph. “And they implicitly assume that the whales share the exact same worldview as the coin’s designers: that the stablecoin should be worth $1. But if the whales do not share this view themselves, […] the coins can fail and break their intended peg.”
In a Twitter thread on Saturday, Sirer noted that this disconnect between game theoretics and developer intentions can lead participants in a protocol to identifying a Schelling point/price peg, but not the one developers had in mind:
To use technical jargon, there may indeed be a Schelling point, but that point may reside somewhere other than the designer’s intended $1. Let me illustrate.
These dicey dynamics have led other observers, such as Ari Paul, the chief investment officer at BlockTower Capital, to conclude that the project is indistinguishable from a “pump and dump.” Decentralized finance (DeFi) maven Tyler Reynolds, however, believes that if DSD pulls through, it could mean that it’s established itself as “the next big decentralized stablecoin.”
These just look like pump and dumps to me♂️. Not necessarily by design, or the fault of the team, but how many Ample’s do we need? Those in early and out early make a ton of money. By the time people buy off of influencer tweets, they’re probably losing 60%+ within a month.
For Sirer, these kinds of uncertainties are to be expected — and traders need to take them into account.
“Because the science behind these experiments is not yet well-established, there is considerable risk and traders need to carry out their own research,” he said. “Personally, I look for three critical components: uses for the stable coin beyond just speculation; an incentive mechanism that offers realistic, modest yields during periods of stability; and a dedicated, well-capitalized, and competent team behind the coin.”
So far, the market seems to think Dynamic Set Dollar clears the bar. After hitting a low of $.27 earlier today, DSD has been climbing steadily and sits at $.63 at press time. Moreover, intrepid block explorers have noticed significant on-chain volumes indicating that whales are indeed buying and burning DSD for coupons:
789k $DSD spent on coupons what a chadhttps://t.co/aVJan57lgt
Still, Sirer warms that even if DSD recovers, it could be subject to future gut-punch dumps.
“Algorithmic stablecoins all incorporate feedback loops designed to dampen oscillations around the targeted peg value,” he said. “They seem to do best when they are trading close to the target peg, and not so well when they diverge. A coin that veers into dangerous territory and then recovers might very well be subject to similar oscillations in the future.”
Aside from price action and traders’ fortunes, however, Sirer says these experiments are also key to pushing DeFi forward. Sirer points to MakerDAO, Balancer, DyDx and Uniswap as previous algorithmic experiments that have become “genuinely useful instruments that provide critical functionality.”
And in the end, as the science gets better, projects like DSD will eventually achieve long-term viability, he concluded.