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Former CEOs grapple with DAO governance – Cointelegraph Magazine
Published
2 Wochen agoon
By
One morning in July of 2019, Kain Warwick awoke at 6:30 to a grim phone call from his co-founder and CTO, Justin Moses.
“We have a problem,” said Moses.
Synthetix, the synthetic asset protocol that Warwick, Moses, and their team had been building for over two years, had fallen victim to a crippling exploit: an attacker with the pseudonym “Onyx” had created $11 billion of synthetic asset debt — over 275 times what Synthetix was worth — and was taunting team members and sowing chaos in public channels.
These days, time and success seem to have tempered what Warwick freely admits is a fiery disposition. Still witty and pugnacious, he’s prone to ribbing his competitors and critics on Twitter, but otherwise presents as affable and charming; sometimes even wise.
In the Australian winter of 2019, however, he was raging.
Synthetix blog posts from the period maintain a thin veneer of professionalism, but are laced with fury. In them, Warwick equates communicating with the exploiter with a “hostage negotiation,” and says that paying a bug bounty to Onyx is a form of “extortion.” He gets dragged into a war of words, at one point smearing Onyx with a terrible curse in programmer circles, branding the attacker a “script kiddie.”
In context, Warwick’s anger is easy to empathize with. The young decentralized finance (DeFi) platform was in the nascent stages of what is now considered a legendary run, having successfully attracted $40 million in total value locked — just a fraction of an eventual over $1 billion peak. Such an exploit can cripple growth for a fledgling project, and over the next few months the “hyper-competitive” Kain went on the offensive: deploying a mechanism that slashed funds from user wallets attempting to exploit the protocol, a mechanism that eventually gave Kain the last laugh as Onyx’s funds were drained.
Warwick wanted to go even further, too: instituting harsh slashing penalties in perpetuity for anyone attempting to undermine his protocol.
In the end, however, what Warwick wanted was no longer relevant.
Control over the protocol had previously been handed over to a multi-signature scheme, part of a larger, 18-month process of decentralizing Synthetix’s governance through the use of a series of decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs). The majority of signatories controlling the protocol decided on a more reserved course of action, avoiding a slashing policy entirely.
It was at that moment Warwick says he first faced the “confronting” realization he’d lost the traditional “dictatorial” power of a CEO.
He could no longer “throw a tantrum and say, ‘This is the way we’re going to do this because I feel this way.’”
I was in the minority internally, and what I wanted to do was not going to happen, and I just had to come to terms with it.
The ‘dictator’ had become just another delegate.
A new kind of unicorn
To those uninitiated in the tenets of DeFi and Web3, the decision to decentralize governance over a billion-dollar protocol likely seems insane.
Founder/CEOs like Elon Musk are worshiped with cult-like devotion — and aside from the fame, helming a unicorn grants founders the potential to reap historic levels of wealth: all the fortune of King Solomon’s mines can be earned from the IPO of a simple social app.
Billion-dollar protocols like Synthetix and lending platform Aave stand out in particular for their active revenue streams, growing user bases, and proven models, as well as their involvement in both the fintech and blockchain industries — two of the hottest for speculators and investors. If the regulatory knots could ever be unwound, a Wall Street suit in the underwriting business would no doubt want to institutionalize anyone who suggested handing over control of such a protocol to a DAO.
“That is true, that is actually true,” says Aave co-founder Stani Kulechov, laughing at the accusations of lunacy.
The suits aren’t the only ones who think it’s crazy. Even those ideological adherents who truly and deeply believe in decentralized governance admit that, as of today, the tooling for DAOs is highly limited.
Since October 29th and July 28th respectively, the entirety of Aave and Synthetix’s administrative infrastructure has been operated by DAOs. The process is, at best, rudimentary: AAVE and SNX token holders vote on Improvement Proposals with boolean outcomes, and participants’ votes are weighted relative to the quantity of tokens they hold. While certain departments/administrative bodies might be split into separate DAOs, the structure largely remains the same across the respective networks.
Token-weighted yes/no votes: this is the mechanism that dictates payroll, treasury holdings, protocol upgrades, long term strategy, business operations, and all other forms of governance for two of the largest and most successful DeFi platforms — a pair of sprawling, high-stakes experiments being undertaken in real time.
Embracing ideology over practicality can often be a tricky affair, as anyone who has led a revolution can attest. But even for all the uncertainty, the decision to decentralize was an easy one for both Warwick and Kulechov.
“At some point we noticed that there is so much value in the protocol that we practically have to decentralize,” said Kulechov. “We can’t, as a team, continue to hold this responsibility for something that is highly decentralized except for us.”
Warwick was more succinct on the matter:
It’s just better for everybody if there’s not dictators.
In a series of wide-ranging interviews with Cointelegraph, Warwick, Kulechov, and some of the leading minds in the DAO engineering and organization space discussed the practicalities of decentralized governance, competitive advantages and disadvantages, the unique value capture decentralized governance provides, attracting talent to a nontraditional work environment, and the future of DAOs moving forward.
Centralized versus decentralized
Just as, twelve years on, Bitcoin is still proving the value of a decentralized ledger, it might take time for skeptics of decentralized or distributed governance to come around to the concept.
“They have every right to be skeptical. We’re not quite at the point where this is adding value,” said Patrick Rawson, a co-founder at DAO engineering think tank Curve Labs.
Eventually decentralized governance will become “a nexus of contracts making everyone’s time more efficient, lowering operator costs,” Rawson argued, but currently “the optimizations aren’t there yet.”
Rawson pointed to authoritarian China’s response to Covid-19 as an example of the “optimizations” centralized bodies can currently provide. China was able to shut down the spread of the virus within its own borders because they could “put screws in doors and fully lock people down.”
Similarly, there’s a warranted “folk wisdom” that projects should start out centralized for the optimizational benefits, and then progressively decentralize over time. He concludes that:
The people who are skeptical are skeptical because centralized structures have proven themselves time and time again.
However, DAOs do come with certain built-in competitive edges, argues Eric Arsenault, head of growth and DAO design at DAOstack.
“In certain aspects, you absolutely can compete, and there’s not even an alternative,” he said. “When it comes to questionable legal activities or things involving securities, having a DAO is absolutely more competitive — and in fact is the only valid option, potentially.”
Both Aave and Synthetix occupy decidedly grey legal territory. But legalities aside, Arsenault argues that in the long run a well-coordinated, well-incentivized decentralized organization will always out-compete a centralized one.
“At the end of the day, a DAO allows for open innovation — permissionless innovation and collaboration. A traditional siloed corporation will always be bound by its hierarchy, and the ladders — and your ability to contribute to that will always be limited to a certain extent,” said Arsenault.
A combination of the open innovation and the legal leeway is part of what drew Warwick to decentralizing Synthetix’s governance.
“I love this idea that you can have people that aren’t even in the same building coordinating, or are not all tied to a single legal entity — the governance system can be the coordinating mechanism,” he said. “Even if we may not know how to optimize for that, ideologically that was the thing that attracted me towards [decentralizing Synthetix].”
User ownership is also not a force to overlook, says Rawson. He offered the example of Uber: the parent company reaps the profits generated by drivers, and drivers notably have limited voice and rights.
“But if that were inverted, where drivers slowly gain ownership over time, that’s where the drivers will naturally gravitate towards,” said Rawson.
Sharif Sakr, an analyst for blockchain investment firm BR Capital and a member of Free TON DAO, agrees that DAOs have a unique appeal and set of reward structures for certain people — especially those disaffected with the “whimsy” of traditional hierarchies.
“When I joined Free TON, I think it completely changed my view of incentivization. And it started to make me think differently about incentivization and motivation, as two sort of separate but hopefully parallel things. They were motivated, they were young — even if they weren’t younger than me, they felt younger. I thought, ‘whatever they have, I want some of that.”
Sakr initially joined Free TON to perform reconnaissance for BR Capital as they weighed investing in the project. He quickly found himself enchanted with the unique DAO structure, and now jokes that his Free TON work is cutting into time reserved for his BR Capital duties, occasionally getting him into trouble.
“Through Free TON, I have seen people create something, deliver something, be paid for that thing, receive community applause for that thing, and then see that thing deployed for a bigger goal that they believed in from the start.”
It’s a very fulfilling cycle, and I think the normal world has denied younger people that feeling for far too long […] And that’s kind of a miracle from which there’s no turning back.
Aside from offering top talent a different kind of workplace experience, Rawson believes that eventually the centralized/decentralized competition will come down to who can offer the most robust and compelling ecosystem — and that’s where centralized entities simply won’t be able to keep up.
“Once you can launch the equivalent of a mutual fund or a credit union in 15 minutes, then the competition moves away from ‘who has the best tech’ and towards ‘who has the best, most loyal network?’ That’s when you start to play a game of ecosystems rather than a game of innovation,” said Rawson.
A spectrum of power
Another question that skeptics of decentralized governance frequently raise is to what degree the governance is truly decentralized — after all, if the vast majority of governance tokens (and therefore voting power) are retained by a founding team, how dissimilar are DAO operations from that of a normal company?
“Aave is not a decentralized protocol, I would say,” said Pet3rpan, a semi-anon DAO organizer and member of the Meta Cartel and Venture DAOs. “There may be token governance, but there’s still huge centralization on [the founding team] itself.”
Rawson agreed, saying that users should be cautious about blindly accepting the “decentralized” label.
“If we look at the mechanics, perhaps they’re not [really giving up control],” Rawson said.
Maybe behind-the-scenes this is all plotted out, with a cabal of actors, the right people, and mechanisms in place where they’re not giving up control — they’re theatrically giving up control.
This would boil down to “decentralized theater,” a show granting founders like Warwick and Kulechov the legitimacy of claiming decentralization while surrendering none of the power.
Rawson quickly cautioned that he doesn’t know the inner workings of either project, however, and is simply advocating for a healthy dose of skepticism.
“If they’re doing this really, really well, then I wouldn’t have insight — that’s the point,” Rawson laughed.
Warwick and Kulechov both acknowledged that, as founders, they retain a “soft” power that elevates their voices above others — and that they still hold a portion of tokens large enough to keep them incentivized to continue working on the protocol.
However, founders retaining soft power is nothing new in the crypto space. Though Vitalik Buterin has claimed he no longer has any true control over Ethereum, he remains a figurehead in the eyes of many.
Kulechov also mentioned the founder of Linux, Linus Torvalds, as someone whose example he aims to follow:
“I love the way Linus Torvald is doing it at Linux. He practically deployed the very first software of Linux, Kernels, and even Git, and to this day he follows what’s happening in the community and is actively involved. I really like that kind of approach when building protocols. It’s hard to build something, that you get it right where people are using your protocol and you have sustainability — that’s something that’s difficult to leave.”
Warwick, meanwhile, made it clear that his soft power does have clear limits:
“If I turned up tomorrow in Discord and said, Hey, I’m writing a SIP to change the monetary policy of the token to divert all of the fees to 0x0 address (which would burn the funds), for example, I can’t see a scenario where I get that over the line — no matter how persuasive I am.”
Sakr also pointed out that there are different kinds of soft power, some of which occupy an important role in a DAO. Social hierarchies are a naturally occurring phenomenon in any human organization, and there’s nothing wrong with certain people commanding soft power by way of respect — for instance, product managers.
“A product manager only operates through soft power. They are rarely top of a hierarchy, but usually on the side — they’re not the head of engineering, they’re not the head of design, not the head of commercial, they’re not the head of anything. They often have a big personality, and they are not revered at all, but respected due to the force of personality, imagination, gravitas, vision.”
Where soft power goes wrong is when it becomes overly reverential, says Sakr, granting an individual disproportionate sway and cult-like status — status which founders often command.
Warwick also seems to resent whatever degree of reverential soft power he commands, wishing he could participate without the cloud of his own influence hanging over him. He talked through a hypothetical where he would leave Synthetix publicly, rejoin anonymously, and build up credibility in the DAO through a new persona.
In the end, though, such an undertaking would be too complicated.
“As someone who is, ultimately, a crypto-anarchist, centralized power is bad,” Warwick sighed. “The fact that a founder retains soft power, but not hard power, is probably a good balance.”
Pet3rpan agrees. While the Synthetix and Aave DAOs could stand to have a greater degree of token decentralization, founders retaining soft power ultimately makes sense.
“It’s just reality,” he said. “I don’t see anything wrong with it. The rhetoric of, ‘these people still have influence,’ well yeah, no shit […] You want to listen to people who have done the most. If a leader of a project is the person who has done the most — well, that’s not the greatest conspiracy ever.”
Fresh blood
While founders maintain some of their stature, who is actually doing the work day-to-day? Though some models have emerged, an unanswered question remains as to how decentralized governments attract new talent.
“I personally like the idea that when you give the keys to the community, you can walk away and say, ‘My work is done,’” said Kulechov.
However, he acknowledged that the unfortunate reality is that the majority of smart contract engineering still comes from Aave’s founding team. While he speculated that one day more third-party developers might come on as employees of the DAO, so far it hasn’t happened at scale.
That said, “lots of small features have come from the community,” he says. “The changes might be very small, but very useful.”
He described one example where a community member proposed that users in certain legal jurisdictions would have the option not to take on new, wrapped tokens upon depositing funds into Aave — a minor operational change that would yield significant tax and efficiency benefits for depositors.
Warwick also said that the majority of technical improvements and changes to the protocol still come from the core team — and that the team is keeping to a “five year plan” mapped out before Synthetix decentralized its governance — but upwards of 80% of operational changes to the protocol, such as adjusting collateralization ratios, now come from the community.
“The community is on top of it more. They see where something isn’t optimal, they can monitor on-chain and see if there’s something inefficient with the peg or something, and so those are increasingly coming more from the community,“ he said.
Pet3rpan emphasizes that DAOs offloading major responsibilities from the core team to the community is a key step in long-term success.
“It’s like a mother and her child: you don’t want to coddle the child because it will become this useless thing that always needs help,” he said. “If you really removed the core team from Compound right now, or even Aave, […] they wouldn’t really exist.”
He pointed to Yearn.finance as an example of a DAO that has successfully invested in developing and attracting new talent.
Maybe if Andre [Cronje] didn’t exist anymore we wouldn’t get these mergers and cool innovations like Deriswap, but the core YFI product would keep going because they’ve built up the team and trained a team of really great engineers.
However, Pet3rpan also suggested that progress might be a process and not an event.
“It makes sense that the first proposers and the first people who are involved are the core team. The other people, the workers and the contributors, they will come. Money, and having a large treasury in the DAO, that takes time — but it will come.”
Sakr also believes that the talent migration from centralized entities to decentralized ones is just a matter of time.
“I am coming from a world where energy and young people have been repeatedly, almost psychically crushed […] I’ve seen so much failure from the centralized world. I just can’t see anything in this world for DAOs to compete against that has been so amazing or impressive.”
Into the unknown
Few of the experts that spoke to Cointelegraph for this piece could offer historical analogues for successful decentralized governance. It is new, largely unexplored territory.
This means, of course, that there are heaps of developmental work to be done — but according to Rawson, scholars have already laid the bulk of the theoretical groundwork.
“Scholarship usually predates technological change,” he said. “Everyone sees this coming, everyone knows it’s coming. The folks who are doing this thing every day, having this empirical experience… time might seem slower to us because a day in DeFi is 20 years in the real world, but it’s moving along. It’s moving along and it won’t be long before businesses start out as DAOs.“
He points to The Handbook for Computational Social Choice, a sprawling, 600-page tome that games out a vast array of possible computational governance and voting structures. According to Rawson, DeFi has only scratched 2% of what the academic theory has to offer.
Additionally, according to Sakr, the process of advancing DAO tooling might be less of a technological push forward, but rather a social step back toward more traditional community structures.
“Some people have called it civic fabric — the invisible, informal, nonofficial relationships that bind, for example, neighbors — that cause someone young to do the shopping for someone older. These sort of layers of trust that have been there, perhaps have been damaged by the industrial revolution.”
He compared the Free TON community to another he encountered as he moved his family to rural France to escape the Covid-19 outbreak: an idyllic town bound by loose, but powerful, collectivist bonds:
A DAO is merely a formalizing of very deep and instinctive human bonds that I think have been suppressed.
From a market perspective, the tooling might rapidly improve as the time is already approaching when DeFi users demand some degree of decentralization from the projects they use at the governance layer, and not just at the protocol layer. Arsenault hopes that day comes soon.
“I would hope that the market would move in that direction,” he said. “You’ve seen hacks, you’ve seen issues with rugpulls […] The more these types of things happen, the more people are going to be requiring some form of governance mechanism to ensure their funds are safe.”
The consensus among the founders and experts is that a true DeFi requires decentralization at both layers. For the founders especially, even if it means giving up certain privileges, they seem eager to move forward.
“You’re saying goodbye to a power you have, but you’re saying at the same time, ‘Welcome!’ to a new kind of power,” said Kulechov. “You’re accepting that the model you had was there for a reason, but for where you need to go, you need the new thing.”
Likewise, Warwick implied that the governance development now takes precedence for him over the protocol.
“I think the specifics of how Synthetix works are, to me, far less important to me than how it’s coordinated, and how we’ve built these primitives to scale it up,” he said. “I think the incentive structure and the governance structure are, to me, more important than even what it does.”
And is there any advice for the young founder who wishes to brave the decentralized frontier and start their enterprise as a DAO?
“I think the most important thing is, there’s no reason to be afraid to give up this power,” said Warwick. “As long as you’re supporting the community while you’re doing it, and making sure that they’re good custodians stepping into that role and power as you give it up, the people who you’re handing that power to will typically surprise you and be very dedicated and conscientious about how they manage things.”
It’s not something to be afraid of, it’s something to be excited about — to be able to take these decentralized systems to fruition.
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Litecoin
2020 special! New records, mega weirdness, the predictions that came true: Hodler’s Digest, Dec. 20–26
Published
3 Tagen agoon
Dezember 26, 2020By
Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.
Top Stories This Week
Bitcoin hits all-time high as major altcoins enjoy triple-digit gains
Without question, the biggest story of 2020 has to be Bitcoin’s dazzling return to $24,000 and beyond. Who would have thought this was possible back in March when BTC suffered an almighty flash crash that took it down to just $3,600?
Major altcoins were also basking in the glow of stellar returns this year. At one point this year, ETH was up 417% on where it started the year — outshining BTC in percentage terms, even though it’s some way off record highs.
Litecoin investors will also be popping open the champagne after prices managed to treble in 2020 — not bad considering it started the year at $40. And with all of these altcoins supported by PayPal’s crypto service, it’s very possible that their user bases will expand even further in 2021.
And who could forget DeFi — an industry that barely existed 12 months ago. Over the course of 2020, the total value locked in these protocols has leaped up by about 2,000%.
But as this festive edition of Hodler’s Digest was being written, one altcoin was suffering a rather spectacular fall from grace. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission announced it is taking legal action against Ripple — alleging that the XRP token is an unregistered security. After achieving highs of $0.76 in late November, the altcoin’s value has plummeted, and on Dec. 23, it fell below $0.30.
Who did the most for real-world crypto and blockchain adoption in 2020?
The history books will describe 2020 as a watershed moment for cryptocurrencies, but which companies, governments and organizations made the greatest contribution to adoption?
PayPal naturally makes the list. In October, it confirmed that it was planning to integrate cryptocurrencies into its platform — meaning that 300 million users would be able to buy, sell, hold and spend Bitcoin, Ether, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin. The service is already available in the U.S. and is going to be rolled out next year.
Other big moments included the S&P Dow Jones Indices confirming that it will debut crypto indexes in 2021 — officially bringing digital assets to Wall Street. A vast majority of top-ranking tokens are going to be included, in a move that could spur further institutional adoption in cryptocurrency.
The Supreme Court of India leaped to the rescue when it sensationally overturned the Reserve Bank of India’s ban on financial institutions working with crypto companies — leaving many citizens unable to trade digital assets at all.
COVID-19 has also had an impact on cryptocurrency’s adoption as millions of us were forced to shift to digital payments. As Ben Franklin once said: “Out of adversity comes opportunity.”
Publicly recanted! Luminaries who came to terms with crypto in 2020
It’s exceedingly rare for public figures to perform a U-turn on remarks that they have made publicly. But Bitcoin’s dazzling performance this year has prompted several people to reevaluate their stance on cryptocurrencies.
In 2018, the economist Nouriel Roubini famously described crypto as “the mother of all scams,” dismissing blockchain as “the most over-hyped technology ever.” But in November 2020, he conceded that Bitcoin might qualify as a “partial store of value.”
Jim Cramer also realized the error of his ways after insisting that Bitcoin was not going to replace gold in 2017. In a segment on Mad Money at the time, he assured his viewers that the crypto craze was going to run out of steam. Fast forward three years, and he’s far more bullish… and full of praise for BTC’s scarcity.
And with PayPal wading into the industry, PayPal CEO Dan Schulman deserves an honorable mention, too. As recently as 2018, he had said crypto’s volatility made it “unsuitable to be a real currency that retailers can accept.” How things change. Within months, digital assets will be accepted by millions of its merchants.
Five times crypto got weird in 2020
Every industry, group, clique and conclave has its own share of weirdos — cryptocurrency and blockchain are no exception.
John McAfee announced that he was going to run as the “crypto candidate” in the U.S. presidential election but ended up running his campaign abroad because the U.S. was pursuing him on tax charges. He threw in the towel in May and instead ran for the vice presidency under the Libertarian Party. That didn’t go well, either.
Bitmain suffered a bitter power struggle that affected the company’s basic operations, leading to one of its co-founders being ousted. Thousands of mining rigs went missing in Mongolia, and it seems that the drama is far from over yet.
In July, Twitter was crippled by a devastating hack that saw the pages of high-profile figures including Elon Musk, Kanye West, Joe Biden and Warren Buffett compromised. Their profiles ended up being used for a Bitcoin giveaway scam, with tens of thousands of dollars being sent to fraudulent addresses.
Things got even weirder when Tron’s Justin Sun appeared to offer a $1-million bounty to track down those responsible, but the company failed to follow through on its high-profile promise.
And all of this comes before we even discuss John McAfee’s bizarre promise to eat his own genitalia if BTC fails to hit $1 million by the end of 2020. Sorry, John, looks like that price target is a little off the mark.
Gifting crypto to loved ones this holiday? Educate them first
This year, cryptocurrency has seeped into the public consciousness like never before, with BTC’s record surge making its way into the mainstream media. As a result, it’s little surprise that some crypto holders are planning to give digital assets as a gift this festive season.
Yet while the idea of gifting cryptocurrency to friends and family may sound appealing, there are considerations to take into account before sending them to your loved ones — especially newcomers.
For those who are tempted to follow through with this idea, educating recipients on how to store their crypto safely is crucial. Some of the easiest ways to gift crypto can include gift cards and ATM vouchers, eliminating the need to go through an exchange that may be difficult for newcomers to use.
BitPay chief marketing officer Bill Zielke told Cointelegraph that 2021 may be the tipping point for crypto to become a “cool gift to receive for special occasions.”
Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin is at $25,880, Ether $644 at and XRP at $.30. The total market cap is at $703,139,317,451.
Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are THETA, ZIL, and SNX. The top three altcoin losers of the week are XRP, OCEAN, and RSR.
For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis.
Prediction of the Year
Top crypto adoption predictions that came true in 2020
Here at Hodler’s Digest, we’ve long brought you some of the industry’s most outlandish price predictions. But just like a broken clock is right twice a day, there are times when some of these forecasts are bang on the money.
Mike Novogratz had threatened to “hang his spurs” if BTC failed to hit $20,000 in 2020, but he is now entitled to breathe a sigh of relief after this all-important milestone was reached.
As early as 2013, Bill Gates had warned that currency can get “pretty inconvenient” — remarks that would prove timely as COVID-19 hastens the world’s transition to a cashless society.
And it’s also worth remembering that the Winklevoss twins have been banging the drum about Bitcoin being better than gold since 2016 when they put their case forward in the Financial Times. Fast forward to 2020, they now believe that BTC has the potential to wrestle away market share from gold and even achieve a price of $500,000 per coin.
FUD of the Week
Notorious crypto figures arrested in 2020
Unfortunately, 2020 didn’t exactly shake off crypto’s reputation as being a honey pot for criminals — and from January to October, some estimates suggest that losses from thefts, fraud and hacks totaled a whopping $1.8 billion.
There were also a number of high-profile figures who became embroiled in legal issues. BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes went missing after the U.S. Department of Justice filed criminal charges — and he still hasn’t been tracked down.
Meanwhile, John McAfee was detained in Barcelona over tax evasion charges levied by the U.S. government. He was also charged over fraudulently promoting a series of questionable crypto projects, from which he allegedly made millions of dollars. If convicted, he could face up to 30 years in prison.
And over in China, a staggering 109 people were taken into custody in connection with the PlusToken Ponzi scheme. In the end, 27 were accused of being the scheme’s masterminds, while the remaining 82 held smaller roles within the organization. In December, Chen Bo and 13 of his co-conspirators were sentenced to jail terms ranging between two and 11 years.
Cat got your tongue? Bitcoin critics wither in 2020
Compared with other bull run years such as 2017, 2020 has seen much less crypto criticism — with a number of Bitcoin naysayers appearing to soften their stance toward digital assets.
Prominent naysayers like Warren Buffett, Bill Gates and Donald Trump have largely remained silent about Bitcoin and crypto this year. Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman, who predicted a “total collapse” of Bitcoin in 2018, refrained from commenting as well.
According to data by major Bitcoin-themed website 99bitcoins, 2020 has been the year with the lowest Bitcoin “obituary” rate since 2013.
Only seven cases of “Bitcoin death” were reported in media monitored by 99bitcoins, compared to 41 “obituaries” in 2019 and 93 in 2018.
Bitcoin FOMO? Tesla and these stocks crushed BTC’s gains in 2020
Bitcoin has wowed investors with all-time highs and year-to-date returns of over 200% — but there are stocks that still beat it.
As of Dec. 22, Peloton Interactive has secured dazzling annual returns of 384% as lockdowns forced many of us to exercise at home instead of in a gym.
Unsurprisingly, Moderna has also skyrocketed because of its involvement in developing a coronavirus vaccine — up 619%.
Zoom became a household name overnight when lockdowns began being imposed, with its stock racing up 495% year to date.
And of course, who could forget Tesla, which has stubbornly shrugged off any suggestion of a bubble and is now a member of the S&P 500? BTC’s gains pale in comparison to the 850% year-to-date gains TSLA has enjoyed this year.
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Litecoin
2021 price outlook: BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, BCH, LINK, ADA, BNB, DOT, XLM
Published
3 Tagen agoon
Dezember 26, 2020By
Bitcoin price remains in a strong uptrend and this presents a rosy outlook for BTC and many altcoins.
Litecoin
Bitcoin breaks records, what happens next, Coinbase IPO: Hodler’s Digest, Dec. 13–19
Published
1 Woche agoon
Dezember 19, 2020By
Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.
Top Stories This Week
Another day, another all-time high — Bitcoin hits $24,000 in weekend surge
On Dec. 18, 2017, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $19,891.99. Years of price falls and drama followed. Nonetheless, believers remained confident that one day, one day, BTC would manage to crack $20,000.
And on Dec. 16, 2020, that day finally came. In quick succession, BTC smashed through $20,000, $21,000, $22,000 and $23,000, pausing for breath at $23,800. This stumbling block was eviscerated over the weekend when BTC headed above $24,000.
In an extraordinary run, Bitcoin’s price has surged by more than 25% in the space of a week, with Ether hitting yearly highs and altcoins such as Litecoin performing strongly, too.
On-chain analyst Willy Woo has proclaimed that $55,000 is the next landmark for Bitcoin to reach — asserting that $100,000 is a “ridiculously low” target. Meanwhile, Quantum Economics founder Mati Greenspan believes “things are just getting started.”
Early miners have been turned into millionaires, with the number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least $1 million surging by 150% this week. And for a time, anyone who had ever bought Bitcoin was officially in profit.
Bitcoin’s network fundamentals paint a very different picture to the 2017 bull run, but some things never change: as BTC surged beyond $20,000, both Binance and Coinbase suffered outages.
Bitcoin price can hit $25,000 before 2021 if this key support level holds
As the Lambo brochures land on doormats, with the moon in sight, what’s next?
Cointelegraph analyst Michaël van de Poppe says a drop to the $18,500 region in the short term shouldn’t be ruled out but adds there could be further room to run as price discovery continues.
He believes that $19,500 has now been turned into a critical level to hold. The next level of interest is found at $25,800, which could be the next marker for a potential top.
Van de Poppe wrote: “Such vertical rallies aren’t sustainable for long. Thus, a correction will occur at some point. However, predicting when it happens is anyone’s guess, as Bitcoin may easily run to $30,000 and then see a 30% correction.”
It’s also shaping up to be a “significant quarter” for altcoins. Historically, Bitcoin dominance tops out in December, and a strong quarter for smaller cryptocurrencies follows. The question now is if, and when, Bitcoin’s violent correction will occur.
The options market is pricing a potential Bitcoin rally to between $36,000 and $50,000, indicating many traders believe the surge will continue in 2021. A larger uptrend in the first half of 2021 would see BTC replicate the post-halving activity it saw in 2017.
“Now BTC has finally broken $20k, all bets are off,” crypto analyst and trader Cheds told Cointelegraph.
Bitcoin shortage as Wall Street FOMO turns Bitcoin whales into plankton
Institutions are now making mincemeat of whales — and they’re beginning to look like plankton. As long-term investors rush to offload Bitcoin at a profit, big firms are lining up to snap up their crypto en masse.
A shortage of BTC on exchanges, coupled with institutional buying at over-the-counter venues, has laid the foundation for a fight over the remaining supply. Price rises are the only logical solution.
“I’ll repeat… liquidity crisis incoming,” said Danny Scott, the CEO of U.K. exchange Coin Corner.
And there’s no sign of institutional activity slowing down, either, with some indicating that “there is going to be a generational allocation to this new asset class.”
Here’s the thing: Retail buyers aren’t even here. Twitter, Wikipedia and even Google search activity point to a world that’s unaware of Bitcoin’s surge. (That said, BTC has been getting increased coverage in newspapers — with my grandmother revealing she read about it over her morning cup of tea on Thursday.)
Tweets are only roughly where they were in January 2018; page views on Wikipedia are largely flat; and Google searches for “Bitcoin” have been less popular this week than they were in November.
BTC just doesn’t seem to have touched mainstream consciousness, and paradoxically, it seems many people are only prepared to buy crypto when it hits all-time highs.
The Coinbase IPO is coming, according to a SEC filing
One of crypto’s most-anticipated initial public offerings is now one step closer.
Coinbase has sent its draft registration for an IPO to the Securities and Exchange Commission. This is a big deal given how it’s one of the biggest names in crypto, with a reputation for working well with U.S. regulators.
According to the research company Messari, Coinbase could fetch a valuation of $28 billion if the IPO goes ahead. That’s a substantial rise compared with its most recent funding round in October 2018, which gave the company a price tag of $8 billion.
Reports suggest that Coinbase has approached Goldman Sachs to lead its IPO, but this is yet to be confirmed.
It’s here: Treasury proposes rule to monitor crypto going to self-hosted wallets
The Treasury has released its long-awaited proposal to restrict money services businesses, including U.S.-registered crypto exchanges, from dealing with self-hosted wallets.
Under the proposed rules, exchanges would have to verify “the identity of their customers if a counterparty uses an unhosted or otherwise covered wallet and the transaction is greater than $3,000.”
The Treasury has now given stakeholders 15 days to respond with their comments, and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong was among the first to express reservations about the rumored plan in November.
Several lawmakers have expressed opposition to the proposals, which could be regarded as an assault on the nature of peer-to-peer transactions. That said, the measures on the table are not as radical as some had feared they would be.
Analysts believe that the mooted restrictions won’t impact Bitcoin’s rally, arguing that the possibility of extra regulation has already been priced into the crypto market.
Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin is at $23,866.82, Ether at $663.73 and XRP at $0.58. The total market cap is at $674,326,311,469.
Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are SwissBorg, Elrond and Zilliqa. The top three altcoin losers of the week are Energy Web Token, Waves and Filecoin.
For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis.
Most Memorable Quotations
“All you had to do to be a millionaire today, is mine a *single* #Bitcoin block between 2009 and 2012. You had 210,000 chances to do so.”
Rafael Schultze-Kraft, Glassnode CTO
“One of Robinhood’s primary selling points was that it did not charge its customers trading commissions. In reality, however, ‘commission free’ trading at Robinhood came with a catch.”
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
“We are not at the all-time-high juncture where the BTC Top Cap Model starts curving upwards. Let’s see how high she runs in 2021. $100k is a ridiculously low target at the current trajectory. $55k is the next landmark -> Bitcoin becomes a $1T macro asset bucket.”
Willy Woo, on-chain analyst
“I’ll repeat… liquidity crisis incoming.”
Danny Scott, Coin Corner
“$ETH has started its run every December the last 3 years with at least 100%+ ROI over the following months. What makes you think this year will be any different? #Ethereum to $1000+ within the next few months IMO.”
Altcoin Sherpa, crypto analyst
“Settle in, because we will be visiting the $20-$22K level at least half a dozen times before we break through to the $30K range later in 2021.”
Alex Mashinsky, Celsius Network CEO
“Sustained growth is likely from here, at least for the time being. We are being driven by corporations and billionaires now, not just retailers.”
Brandon Mintz, Bitcoin Depot CEO
“#Bitcoin just popped. Experienced some scaling issues. Should be fixed for now. Underestimated demand. Adding A LOT more ‘servers’ still.”
Changpeng Zhao, Binance CEO
“We have been waiting for this moment for years, and now that $BTC #Bitcoin has finally broken 20k, all bets are off.”
Cheds, crypto trader and analyst
“Glad I bought Bitcoin. Next stop $50k. Wall of institutional money coming 2021. Buy below $20k. If you missed Bitcoin, buy silver.”
Robert Kiyosaki, Rich Dad, Poor Dad author
“I would NEVER recommend anyone take out a personal loan to buy ETH or other ethereum assets.”
Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum co-founder
Prediction of the Week
DeVere CEO says Bitcoin will rise 50% and “possibly double” in 2021
There are oh so many predictions doing the rounds about what’s going to happen next.
DeVere Group CEO Nigel Green has proclaimed that Bitcoin will have another “record-breaking year” in 2021.
Green believes prices will explode by 50% and hinted that they could even double. On this basis, he expects BTC to trade between $34,500 and $46,000 at some point next year.
Robert Kiyosaki — the bestselling author of Rich Dad, Poor Dad — has also thrown his hat into the prediction ring. “A wall of institutional money” is coming to Bitcoin in 2021, he said, setting a target of $50,000.
There’s one man who is relieved that one of his predictions finally came true. Back in April, Mike Novogratz warned he may “hang his spurs” if BTC failed to reach $20,000 in 2020. He’s since tweeted to say he’s “glad I don’t need to.”
FUD of the Week
Shock survey suggests most investors think Bitcoin won’t top $50,000 by 2030
Unrelenting optimism over how Bitcoin will perform in 2021 doesn’t appear to be matched by everyday investors.
A Genesis Mining survey of 1,000 current and former U.S.-based Bitcoin investors suggests that just 17% believe BTC prices will exceed $50,000 in 10 years’ time. That’s despite the fact that this would only require an increase of 108% from current levels — with BTC surging by 230% year-to-date.
In total, 50.1% of those who took part in the poll believe that Bitcoin will be worth $20,000 or less by 2030; a third think it’ll be under $10,000; and a tenth fear prices will fall below $1,000.
Trading app Robinhood settles SEC charges for $65 million
Robinhood has staved off a lawsuit from the Securities and Exchange Commission by agreeing to pay $65 million.
The SEC had accused the trading app of deceiving users as to where its money was actually coming from between 2015 and 2018.
Regulators wrote: “One of Robinhood’s primary selling points was that it did not charge its customers trading commissions. In reality, however, ‘commission free’ trading at Robinhood came with a catch: Robinhood’s customers received inferior execution prices compared to what they would have received from Robinhood’s competitors.”
Speaking to Cointelegraph, the head of Robinhood’s legal team stressed that this is all in the past, explaining: “The settlement relates to historical practices that do not reflect Robinhood today.”
Unfortunately, Robinhood’s legal woes may not end here, with reports emerging that securities regulators in Massachusetts are weighing up whether to file a case against the company for subjecting inexperienced investors to “unnecessary trading risks.”
IRS tax form question leaves U.S. crypto users confused and concerned
Crypto users in the U.S. have been left confused and frustrated over the wording of a question about digital currencies on this year’s tax return form.
Form 1040 asks: “At any time during 2020, did you receive, sell, send, exchange, or otherwise acquire any financial interest in any virtual currency?”
This question has now been placed much more prominently — near the top of the form. But here’s the problem: There’s a lack of explicit guidance on the definition of a “virtual currency.”
One crypto tax specialist has likened the question to a “perjury trap.”
Best Cointelegraph Features
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Building a crypto exchange can be a daunting process, but there’s one question that’s often overlooked: How do you build an excellent exchange? Cointelegraph Magazine takes a look.
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What updates have been added, and how soon can they be implemented? Here’s Julia Magas.
Traditional crypto custodians ramp up security to accommodate institutional demand
Offline storage solutions are necessary for traditional custodians and banks supporting digital assets, as Rachel Wolfson explains.
If History Rhymes, This Indicator Suggests Bitcoin May See a Parabolic Explosion
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