Ethereum tumbles below $600 as XRP debacle takes a toll on altcoins
Published
5 Tagen ago
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XRP has been showing massive weakness as the cryptocurrency is being sued by the SEC. Its price tumbled significantly from $0.65 to $0.21 in four days, a crash of 67%.
Meanwhile, other altcoins also corrected significantly in the past 24 hours as investors probably fear that XRP may not be the only coin on the SEC’s radar.
Ether (ETH) dropped by 14% on Dec. 24 and then bounced at $550. While Chainlink corrected 38% toward a recent low of $8. Sushiswap (SUSHI) saw the largest correction and flash crash dropping from $2.75 to $1.10 — a crash of 61%.
So the question now is whether the XRP debacle will continue to hurt the altcoin market in the short term. Let’s take a look at the technicals to identify the current support and resistance areas.
Ether looks for a new higher low after the recent drop
ETH/USD 1-week chart. Source: TradingView
The weekly chart for Ether was looking great and didn’t change through the recent dropdown. In that regard, the construction is still bullish and trending up.
The recent high at $675 confirms a new higher high, after which a higher low will ensure the further continuation of the bull market for Ether. This higher low is most likely going to happen at the area around $450. This is the previous resistance zone eager to flip for support before continuation is going to happen.
However, to have such a correction, Bitcoin (BTC) should see a severe correction. Otherwise, it’s unlikely this scenario will occur. As long as Ether remains above $450, a renewed rally can push Ether towards $1,200-1,300 next year.
$620 resistance is the next crucial level
ETH/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
Ether’s daily chart is looking less bullish as it broke beneath the crucial threshold of $620, which should have been broken for immediate bullish continuation. Breaking above $620 would all but guarantee a new high for ETH price.
However, the previous resistance zone and rejection at $620 suggests that more downside is likely in the short term.
Therefore, the crucial support zone to hold for Ether is now the $550 area as that’s the recent higher low. As long as that sustains, the bullish case is still on the table.
The price will likely drop to the $450 region if $550 fails as support after another rejection at $620. This $450 level is the previous resistance zone and a significant support area on the weekly timeframe.
The weekly chart of Bitcoin dominance shows a breakthrough toward 70%. The primary reason for this rally is the weakness of XRP since it’s the second-biggest altcoin.
The dominance chart will continue its surge if XRP continues to plunge. At the same time, the weakness of ETH/BTC is also not helping the case for an altseason in early 2021.
However, one thing to watch for is the potential top in the Bitcoin dominance chart as it typically occurs in December. Since 2016, the dominance chart has peaked in December. After this top, altcoins saw massive gains in Q1.
The ETH/BTC pair is key here because it has to bottom out before a potential rally in altcoins.
ETH/BTC 1-week chart. Source: TradingView
Unfortunately, Ether’s weekly chart shows a clear breakdown below support on the BTC pair, indicating that further weakness for altcoins is likely.
However, as long as ETH remains above 0.021 sats, bullish arguments can still be made for more upside as the upwards construction would still be intact.
Ideally for ETH, a reclaim of the 0.026 sats level would indicate strength and further continuation, so traders should watch that level first. If that fails to hold, the next area to watch is the 0.021 sats zone alongside the $450 region.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Bitcoin price rally cools down as Polkadot gains 34% in first week of ‘altseason’
Published
10 Stunden ago
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Dezember 29, 2020
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Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $26,000 on Dec. 29 as fresh fallout from Ripple’s threatened U.S. lawsuit was felt throughout crypto markets.
Cryptocurrency market overview. Source: Coin360
BTC price dips as Coinbase halts XRP trading
Data from Cointelegraph Markets, Coin360 and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting lows of $25,830 during Tuesday trading.
$27,000 support failed to hold overnight, sparking a retest of lower levels which now center on $26,000. At the weekend, Bitcoin hit all-time highs of $28,400 before swiftly reversing.
The latest losses come as XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, hits $0.23 thanks to major U.S. exchange Coinbase opting to suspend trading from next month. The reason is a lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which threatens to classify XRP as an unlicensed security and make trading it all but impossible.
“There is going to be a rangebound construction, after which 2021 will most likely break out again,” Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michaël van de Poppe summarized about Bitcoin’s short-term perspectives in a video update on Monday.
Analyst braced for altseason
Van de Poppe is eyeing altcoins as next in line to see major gains. XRP notwithstanding, the market is already showing signs of life, with Ether (ETH) climbing above $700 for the first time since May 2018 this week.
Another winner on Tuesday was Polkadot (DOT), now the seventh-largest token by market cap, which saw a 22.5% daily rise, capping weekly performance of nearly 34%.
For Van de Poppe, the next “impulse wave” on Bitcoin in 2021 should take the market to $40,000 or $50,000, but “until then, altcoins will most likely do well.”
He additionally pointed to a likely top in Bitcoin market cap dominance, which at almost 70% should soon give way to altcoin presence. December tends to see BTC dominance peaks, with 2017, the time of Bitcoin’s first attempt to crack $20,000, a notable comparison.
Dynamic Set Dollar faces “massive test” as stablecoin falls as low as $.27
Published
2 Tagen ago
on
Dezember 28, 2020
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While wild price action on Bitcoin and Ethereum have claimed the attention of most traders over the Christmas weekend, a select sect of crypto traders are following an experiment playing out in real-time that may have implications for the future of stablecoins: the fate of Dynamic Set Dollar.
Dynamic Set Dollar and its DSD token is an algorithmic stablecoin project designed to — eventually — track the United States Dollar on a 1-1 ratio with DSD. During expansionary cycles, such as one that led DSD as high as $3 per token last week, users are rewarded with freshly-printed “rebased” tokens for providing liquidity.
According to Avalanche blockchain platform founder Emin Gün Sirer, however, developers of protocols like DSD face a much tricker task during price dumps like the one DSD is currently experiencing: incentivizing users to adjust the amount of tokens in circulation. In DSD’s case, holders can burn their tokens at any time for “coupons” which they can redeem at any point within 30 days so long as DSD is above $1 per token — hypothetically enabling them to reap significant profit.
“These mechanisms rely on whales who will jump in and out of the coin in order to stabilize its price around the intended target,” said Sirer in an interview with Cointelegraph. “And they implicitly assume that the whales share the exact same worldview as the coin’s designers: that the stablecoin should be worth $1. But if the whales do not share this view themselves, […] the coins can fail and break their intended peg.”
In a Twitter thread on Saturday, Sirer noted that this disconnect between game theoretics and developer intentions can lead participants in a protocol to identifying a Schelling point/price peg, but not the one developers had in mind:
To use technical jargon, there may indeed be a Schelling point, but that point may reside somewhere other than the designer’s intended $1. Let me illustrate.
These dicey dynamics have led other observers, such as Ari Paul, the chief investment officer at BlockTower Capital, to conclude that the project is indistinguishable from a “pump and dump.” Decentralized finance (DeFi) maven Tyler Reynolds, however, believes that if DSD pulls through, it could mean that it’s established itself as “the next big decentralized stablecoin.”
These just look like pump and dumps to me♂️. Not necessarily by design, or the fault of the team, but how many Ample’s do we need? Those in early and out early make a ton of money. By the time people buy off of influencer tweets, they’re probably losing 60%+ within a month.
For Sirer, these kinds of uncertainties are to be expected — and traders need to take them into account.
“Because the science behind these experiments is not yet well-established, there is considerable risk and traders need to carry out their own research,” he said. “Personally, I look for three critical components: uses for the stable coin beyond just speculation; an incentive mechanism that offers realistic, modest yields during periods of stability; and a dedicated, well-capitalized, and competent team behind the coin.”
So far, the market seems to think Dynamic Set Dollar clears the bar. After hitting a low of $.27 earlier today, DSD has been climbing steadily and sits at $.63 at press time. Moreover, intrepid block explorers have noticed significant on-chain volumes indicating that whales are indeed buying and burning DSD for coupons:
789k $DSD spent on coupons what a chadhttps://t.co/aVJan57lgt
Still, Sirer warms that even if DSD recovers, it could be subject to future gut-punch dumps.
“Algorithmic stablecoins all incorporate feedback loops designed to dampen oscillations around the targeted peg value,” he said. “They seem to do best when they are trading close to the target peg, and not so well when they diverge. A coin that veers into dangerous territory and then recovers might very well be subject to similar oscillations in the future.”
Aside from price action and traders’ fortunes, however, Sirer says these experiments are also key to pushing DeFi forward. Sirer points to MakerDAO, Balancer, DyDx and Uniswap as previous algorithmic experiments that have become “genuinely useful instruments that provide critical functionality.”
And in the end, as the science gets better, projects like DSD will eventually achieve long-term viability, he concluded.