Bitcoin
Zilliqa, Terra (LUNA) and VeChain rally off good news and strong fundamentals
During a bull market, negative news is quickly digested and the collateral damage is often limited. Therefore, even as XRP price dumped aggressively due to the uncertainty regarding the outcome of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit, other altcoins have largely been unaffected.
Moreover, as Bitcoin’s (BTC) strong rally takes a breather, several altcoins have broken out of their overhead resistance levels and are attempting to resume their uptrend. Let’s look at a few tokens that have risen sharply in the past few days and analyze their charts to ascertain whether the rally could extend further.
ZIL/USD
Zilliqa (ZIL) has risen sharply in 2020. Part of the rally could be attributed to the decentralized finance boom that dominated a large portion of the year.
After launching its decentralized exchange ZilSwap on Oct. 5 and non-custodial staking on Oct. 14, the token rallied considerably. These new features allowed the community to stake directly into the smart contract whereas previously they had to do it through a third-party intermediary.
To date, the community has staked about 30.49% of the total outstanding supply and the low eligibility threshold of 10 ZIL may have attracted greater participation from token holders.
During the coronavirus pandemic, most people stayed indoors and spent their time on social media. Thus, the timing of Zilliqa’s SocialPay launch could not have been better. The platform launched in May and it rewards users for sharing Zilliqa’s updates and announcements on Twitter.
All these fundamental developments may be the reason for the increase in the number of wallet addresses and monthly transactions in 2020. But can the token continue its outperformance in 2021? Let’s study its charts to find out.
The altcoin has been in a strong uptrend and it rallied from an intraday low at $0.0296388 on Dec. 12 to an intraday high at $0.0996 on Dec. 27, a 236% rally in about two weeks. Usually, these vertical rallies are not sustainable in the long run. Periodic corrections or consolidations are needed that can cool the up-move and increase the longevity of the trend.
The ZIL/USD pair has formed successive inside day candlestick patterns on Dec. 28 and today. This suggests a contraction in volatility as the bulls and the bears decide on the next directional move.
If the inside day resolves to the upside, the uptrend could resume. Conversely, if the inside day candle is followed by a sharp down-move, the bears may have gained the upper hand and a deeper correction would be expected.
Therefore, if the bears sink the price below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.0728748, a drop to the 50% retracement level at $0.0646194 and then to the 20-day exponential moving average ($0.0570) is possible.
A strong bounce off this support hi that the positive sentiment remains intact as traders are accumulating on dips. The bulls will then attempt to resume the uptrend and if they can push the price above $0.0996, a rally to $0.14 may be possible.
On the other hand, if the price slides below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that a short-term top could be in place as bulls are not keen to buy on dips.
LUNA/USD
Terra Protocol’s LUNA seems to have benefited from greater adoption of its existing products and the proposed launch of new ones. Its Chai payments app witnessed over 2.8 million transactions in November with payment volumes crossing $90 million.
To capitalize on the strong demand for U.S. stocks, commodities, and ETFs, Terra launched the Mirror Protocol on Dec. 4, enabling the creation and trading of synthetic assets. This could continue to attract traders as long as the assets remain in a strong trend.
Terra is also attempting to address the product referral marketing category that mainly benefits the direct referrer. The protocol plans to officially launch BuzLink, a marketing tool in February 2021, that will reward the entire referral chain after the sale is done.
LUNA has risen from an intraday low of $0.45 on Dec. 24 to an intraday high at $0.70 today, a 55% gain within a week. The upsloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) close to the overbought zone suggest bulls have the upper hand.
The LUNA/USD pair broke above the $0.57 overhead resistance on Dec. 28, which completed a rounding bottom pattern. This bullish setup has a target objective of $0.86.
However, the Doji candlestick pattern with a long wick today shows that traders are booking profits at higher levels. This could drag the price down to the breakout level at $0.57.
If the pair rebounds off this level or even from the 20-day EMA ($0.51), it will suggest that bulls are in control. A break above $0.70 could resume the uptrend.
Contrary to this assumption, if the bears sink and sustain the price below $0.57 and the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the recent breakout was a bull trap. The trend may favor the bears if the pair drops below $0.45.
VET/USD
The coronavirus pandemic has made people and businesses even more aware of the power of digital technology. VeChain (VET) developed the E-HCert App in collaboration with the Mediterranean Hospital of Cyprus to store COVID-19 test records. After its successful implementation, Aretaeio Hospital has also joined the VeChain ecosystem to integrate its lab testing services, which will make the data readily accessible to patients to use as required.
The VeChainThor blockchain also recently received a 5-Star-Rated Blockchain Service Certificate from TÜV Saarland, a European certification body. This could increase confidence in its ecosystem and also improve investor sentiment about VET token. In a further boost, Grant Thornton Cyprus revealed itself as one of the VeChainThor Authority Masternodes. These developments could open up new possibilities for the future.
VET has rallied from an intraday low at $0.011724 on Dec. 23 to an intraday high at $0.02120375 today, an 80% gain in a short time. The bears are likely to defend the $0.02210 level aggressively as it has been acting as a stiff resistance for the past few months.
However, if the VET/USD pair does not break below $0.018, the bulls will make one more attempt to drive the price above $0.02210. If they succeed, the pair will complete a rounding bottom pattern that has a target objective at $0.0353.
The 20-day EMA ($0.0165) has started to turn up and the RSI is above 60, which suggests that bulls have the upper hand. Even a consolidation between $0.018 and $0.0221 will be a positive sign and it will increase the possibility of a breakout of the overhead resistance.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price again gets rejected at $0.02210, it could attract profit booking from the short-term traders and that may pull the price back below the moving averages. Such a move could suggest that the pair may consolidate in a large range for a few days.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
- Bitcoin has seen some mixed price action as of late, with bulls being unable to take control of its trend in the time following its rally up to $28,500
- The rejection here was quite intense, and it has yet to show any signs of strength in the time following this occurrence
- The fact that bulls have guarded against any deeper drawback is positive because it invalidates the possibility that this recent high is a blow-off top
- One trader is now noting that there is an incredibly bullish indicator that is flashing for Bitcoin
- He points to the cryptocurrency’s monthly RSI, noting that a monthly close above a specific level that it is nearing is historically followed by parabolic moves higher
- In the past, these movements have had an average return of 1,010%, but their size and length seem to diminish with time
Bitcoin and the entire crypto market have declined over the past 12 hours, which appears to be the direct result of the pressure that XRP is placing on the market due to its latest selloff.
Where the market trends in the mid-term likely won’t depend on XRP, which means that this latest round of selling pressure may mark a knee-jerk reaction from investors.
One analyst is noting that Bitcoin’s monthly RSI is flashing an incredibly bullish sign for where BTC trends next.
Bitcoin Struggles to Gain Momentum Following $28,500 Rejection
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading down just over 1% at its current price of $26,700.
The crypto has been trading between the upper-$26,000 region and the lower-$27,000 region throughout the past few days.
It has yet to garner enough buy-side support to break above the heavy resistance laced throughout the lower-$28,000 region. For now, this peak could mark a blow-off top.
Indicator Suggests BTC is About to Go Parabolic
One trader explained in a recent tweet that Bitcoin could be on the cusp of seeing a parabolic move higher in the days and weeks ahead.
He points to the cryptocurrency’s monthly RSI as an indicator for this possibility.
“BTC – Monthly RSI. Monthly candle is about to close above 80. When this happens, bullish trend continues, with an avg. return of 1010.87%. Each cycle is shorter.”
Image Courtesy of il Capo of Crypto. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.
The coming few days should shed light on Bitcoin’s trend, as continued weakness could confirm $28,500 as a local high and lead to a deeper retrace.
Featured image from Unsplash. Charts from TradingView.
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